← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College0.64+1.52vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.11+1.38vs Predicted
-
3University of Central Florida-0.52+1.43vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College-0.08-0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.19-1.12vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University-0.46-1.69vs Predicted
-
7-2.26-0.13vs Predicted
-
8University of Central Florida-2.27-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.52Rollins College0.640.3%1st Place
-
3.38University of South Florida0.110.2%1st Place
-
4.43University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.75Rollins College-0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.88University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
-
4.31Jacksonville University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
6.87-2.260.0%1st Place
-
6.86University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 32.9% | 24.6% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 17.1% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Julia Scott | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 11.9% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Kayla Putzke | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 28.3% | 48.4% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 33.7% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.