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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.11+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida-0.19+1.88vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+0.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.46+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.52-0.57vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64-3.44vs Predicted
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7-2.26-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-2.27-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of South Florida0.110.2%1st Place
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3.88University of South Florida-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.72Rollins College-0.080.2%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Central Florida-0.520.1%1st Place
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2.56Rollins College0.640.3%1st Place
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6.89-2.260.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Central Florida-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menesale | 18.0% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 12.9% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Julia Scott | 16.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Kayla Putzke | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 11.2% | 2.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 11.7% | 2.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 30.8% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Liam Dunn | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 28.3% | 48.5% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 33.6% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.