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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.00+5.92vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+6.63vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.21vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+2.92vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.90vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-3.53vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.48-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-2.96vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.74-8.32vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-6.81vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.56-6.14vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.07-2.35vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.99-2.93vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.92Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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5.47Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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4.68Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.65Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.07Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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13.17Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stokes | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Williams | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Michael Russom | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.2% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 28.8% |
| John Croll | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 31.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.