Race 5B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gavin Dempsey 13.8% 11.6% 14.5% 12.7% 11.7% 11.1% 9.1% 6.9% 4.9% 3.2% 0.7%
Timothy Hesse 18.6% 16.2% 16.4% 13.2% 11.6% 8.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Braden Vogel 19.1% 17.1% 15.6% 13.8% 11.1% 8.7% 6.6% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Justin Skene 10.8% 12.8% 10.6% 10.8% 10.8% 12.7% 11.5% 8.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.8%
Grace Bray 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 10.0% 11.9% 14.8% 16.3% 10.0%
Bryce Lesinski 4.7% 6.9% 6.0% 6.7% 9.3% 9.4% 11.2% 12.9% 12.3% 12.7% 8.0%
Rachel Bartel 9.2% 9.1% 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 11.3% 11.5% 9.9% 9.2% 6.6% 2.5%
Hayden Flaskerud 3.5% 4.7% 4.5% 6.4% 6.5% 7.2% 9.1% 11.2% 14.5% 18.6% 13.8%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.2% 4.9% 6.0% 7.8% 6.7% 8.0% 8.7% 12.7% 13.8% 15.8% 11.5%
Lucas Rodenroth 9.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.2% 11.3% 11.3% 11.2% 10.5% 9.0% 6.9% 1.9%
Garrett Szlachta 1.4% 2.8% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 6.2% 9.8% 14.1% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.