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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+7.70vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+6.56vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+4.09vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+0.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+3.25vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+2.00vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.07vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.54-1.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.81vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-7.28vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.07+0.79vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.96vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston4.00-7.90vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.29-2.77vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.99-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.09Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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4.72Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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13.79Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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13.23Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.97Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Williams | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 28.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| John Croll | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.