Race 6B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Braden Vogel 17.7% 19.1% 15.6% 12.7% 11.7% 9.0% 6.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Rachel Bartel 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 10.5% 10.6% 11.2% 10.1% 9.7% 6.2% 1.9%
Timothy Hesse 19.1% 16.1% 17.2% 13.0% 10.1% 9.8% 7.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Gavin Dempsey 14.2% 13.4% 12.3% 13.2% 11.8% 10.8% 8.2% 7.4% 4.7% 3.2% 0.6%
Grace Bray 4.0% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.2% 7.6% 10.8% 12.1% 14.8% 13.4% 11.5%
Bryce Lesinski 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.5% 9.2% 10.5% 12.7% 12.9% 14.1% 8.3%
Justin Skene 10.8% 11.7% 10.7% 12.0% 12.6% 10.2% 9.9% 9.7% 7.2% 3.8% 1.4%
Lucas Rodenroth 8.9% 8.4% 10.0% 10.3% 11.6% 12.6% 11.1% 10.2% 8.6% 6.2% 2.1%
Hayden Flaskerud 4.0% 4.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 8.1% 10.2% 10.4% 14.2% 17.0% 15.4%
Brian Zettlemoyer 4.1% 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.6% 8.7% 9.9% 12.7% 13.5% 16.4% 11.1%
Garrett Szlachta 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 4.7% 6.5% 9.7% 17.4% 47.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.