Race 7B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Braden Vogel 21.0% 18.9% 16.0% 13.9% 10.3% 8.3% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucas Rodenroth 9.2% 9.3% 10.2% 12.4% 11.8% 11.5% 11.9% 10.9% 8.3% 4.0% 0.5%
Sam Childers 9.0% 9.8% 10.5% 8.9% 11.1% 11.6% 12.5% 11.2% 8.8% 4.9% 1.7%
Bryce Lesinski 5.0% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 11.0% 12.8% 12.6% 14.5% 11.2% 2.6%
Rachel Bartel 9.3% 10.5% 10.9% 10.9% 12.0% 11.9% 12.4% 10.1% 8.2% 3.1% 0.5%
Hayden Flaskerud 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 6.0% 8.5% 9.0% 10.9% 13.7% 17.6% 14.2% 5.2%
Gavin Dempsey 14.1% 13.3% 14.1% 14.2% 11.8% 11.7% 8.8% 6.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Timothy Hesse 20.8% 17.5% 16.4% 14.4% 11.8% 7.7% 5.5% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Grace Bray 5.0% 5.6% 5.9% 7.3% 8.8% 10.0% 10.1% 13.9% 16.4% 12.8% 4.2%
Garrett Szlachta 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.2% 9.0% 11.6% 30.4% 25.8%
John Riordan 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 4.7% 7.4% 17.3% 59.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.