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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.36+3.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+5.11vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.91vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+0.52vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+3.17vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.54+3.86vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.83-1.90vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-1.67vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.90-1.33vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.37-0.62vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.61vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.79-3.89vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.08-2.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-5.15vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.65-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.52Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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6.1College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.33University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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11.38Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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10.11Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.79Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 19.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Marina Conde | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 4.5% |
| Lina Carper | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 26.2% | 10.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.