← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.36+3.33vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+5.82vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.79+6.90vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.38+0.57vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University-0.08+7.65vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.52+1.50vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College0.92+2.45vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.22+0.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii0.90+0.74vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.56-2.93vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.83-4.68vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.63-5.12vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.57-2.14vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.54-3.03vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.37-3.60vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-6.68vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-1.65-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
9.9Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
-
4.57Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
-
12.65Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
7.5Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.45Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.15George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
9.74University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.07University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.32College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
-
6.88Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
10.86University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
10.97University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
11.4Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
16.07University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 20.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 24.5% | 10.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.4% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Laura Smith | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 4.4% |
| Lina Carper | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 10.4% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.