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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+3.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+2.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83+2.93vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79+5.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.82vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.94+3.21vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63-0.40vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.52vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-1.87vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.90-1.70vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-4.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.54-2.38vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-2.82vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.08-2.52vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.65-0.11vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.37-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.93College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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9.54Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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6.6Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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7.98George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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11.18Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.48Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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15.89University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 18.4% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Lina Carper | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Marina Conde | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 8.6% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 67.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 25.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.