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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+3.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+3.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+4.02vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.36-0.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.90+2.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.92+0.97vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-1.89vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.63-3.51vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.94-1.83vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.37-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.37+0.32vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.08-1.40vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.54-4.55vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.79-6.33vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.65-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.81College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.02George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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11.04Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.6Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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9.67Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 18.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.0% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 18.8% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 24.5% | 15.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 8.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.