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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+4.93vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+2.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+3.68vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.36+0.50vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+1.99vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.92+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.90+2.38vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.92vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.94-0.84vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.09vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79-2.21vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-1.57vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.08-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.65+0.03vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.54-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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4.28Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.68Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.35George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.16University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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7.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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9.79Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.43Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.8Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 18.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Lina Carper | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 4.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 24.4% | 10.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 73.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.