Race 8B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grace Bray 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 6.7% 7.6% 9.6% 11.6% 14.3% 16.8% 13.6% 4.4%
Gavin Dempsey 15.1% 13.7% 13.9% 13.1% 13.4% 10.2% 9.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Lucas Rodenroth 9.7% 9.7% 11.2% 12.0% 11.7% 12.5% 10.2% 10.2% 8.9% 3.6% 0.4%
Bryce Lesinski 5.8% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 11.3% 13.1% 14.0% 13.7% 10.2% 2.8%
Braden Vogel 19.2% 17.9% 16.0% 13.2% 12.3% 9.3% 6.5% 3.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Rachel Bartel 9.6% 10.3% 10.9% 10.2% 11.8% 12.3% 11.1% 10.8% 7.8% 4.2% 1.0%
Hayden Flaskerud 5.1% 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 6.9% 10.0% 10.0% 13.5% 18.1% 14.7% 4.9%
Timothy Hesse 19.6% 18.6% 16.8% 15.2% 11.5% 7.4% 6.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Childers 8.8% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.6% 10.9% 12.8% 10.7% 8.8% 4.3% 1.1%
Garrett Szlachta 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.4% 5.7% 8.8% 13.3% 30.0% 25.2%
John Riordan 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 3.4% 4.9% 6.5% 17.2% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.