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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+7.52vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+4.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+5.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.48+3.23vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+0.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06-1.24vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.00-1.73vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.07+3.76vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-6.29vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.12vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.29+0.24vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.47-4.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.92vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.54-7.15vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.99-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.99Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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7.91Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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13.76Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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4.71Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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11.88University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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13.24Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.21Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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14.0Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 26.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.0% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 10.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 21.5% |
| Connor Needham | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| John Croll | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.