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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.63+5.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+4.01vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+1.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+1.94vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.94+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+2.35vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92-0.81vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.08vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-3.79vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-1.56vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.79-4.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.54-4.33vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.08-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.65-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.01College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.49Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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9.26University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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9.19Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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11.44Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.97Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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12.8Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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16.02University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 16.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 2.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Laura Smith | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 9.8% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 11.2% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.