← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.94+8.05vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.83+3.93vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.37+8.23vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.38+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.52+1.97vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.33vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.63-0.28vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.36-3.56vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii0.90+0.57vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University0.79-0.29vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.92-2.70vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.22-4.74vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.54-3.17vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University-0.08-2.34vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.57-5.31vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-1.65-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.05University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
-
5.93College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
-
11.23Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.42Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
-
6.97Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
6.72Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
4.44Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
9.57University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.71Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
9.3Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.26George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
-
10.83University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
-
12.66Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
10.69University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
15.99University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghislaine van Empel | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 5.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 17.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Marina Conde | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 2.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 24.4% | 10.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 3.1% |
| Jillian Giordano | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.5% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.