← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.57+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University-0.20+0.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.19-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-1.37-0.36vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.20-1.59vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-2.64-0.86vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University-1.95-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08University of Michigan0.570.4%1st Place
-
2.98Ohio State University-0.200.2%1st Place
-
2.51University of Notre Dame0.190.3%1st Place
-
4.64Michigan Technological University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
4.41Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
6.14Marquette University-2.640.0%1st Place
-
5.24Michigan Technological University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Visco | 41.1% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emerson Becker | 17.6% | 22.0% | 25.8% | 19.2% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Payden Pittman | 26.9% | 27.0% | 25.2% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cross | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 19.3% | 26.1% | 23.6% | 9.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 22.5% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Charlie Herman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 58.7% |
| Joshua Hacker | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 33.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.