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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.64+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.99+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20+1.38vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.16+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.61-1.30vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.97-0.71vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.39-0.51vs Predicted
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8Purdue University1.04-3.27vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.76-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.09-2.91vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.43-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Michigan1.6418.3%1st Place
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5.17University of Saint Thomas0.999.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Wisconsin1.2014.5%1st Place
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6.87Northwestern University0.164.4%1st Place
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3.7University of Notre Dame1.6119.6%1st Place
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5.29Michigan Technological University0.978.7%1st Place
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6.49Indiana University0.395.5%1st Place
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4.73Purdue University1.0411.7%1st Place
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8.69Grand Valley State University-0.762.3%1st Place
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7.09University of Chicago0.094.9%1st Place
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9.86Marquette University-1.430.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Vogel | 18.3% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 14.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 4.0% |
| Timothy Hesse | 19.6% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Justin Skene | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 30.5% | 22.7% |
| Hayden Flaskerud | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 7.4% |
| John Riordan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.