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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+6.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.00+5.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+3.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.66vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.74-1.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+2.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.05vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-3.00vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.07+2.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-2.93vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-4.93vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.48-5.97vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.99-1.96vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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4.79Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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7.0Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.77Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.03University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
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14.04Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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13.19Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Michael Russom | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 9.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 29.6% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| John Croll | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 30.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.