← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.57+1.09vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University-0.20+0.99vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-1.95+2.34vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.20+0.40vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame0.19-2.41vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University-1.37-1.42vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-2.64-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.09University of Michigan0.570.4%1st Place
-
2.99Ohio State University-0.200.2%1st Place
-
5.34Michigan Technological University-1.950.0%1st Place
-
4.4Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
2.59University of Notre Dame0.190.2%1st Place
-
4.58Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
6.01Marquette University-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Visco | 41.7% | 27.4% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emerson Becker | 17.1% | 22.4% | 25.9% | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Hacker | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 20.2% | 29.4% | 26.9% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.0% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 25.8% | 20.9% | 6.5% |
| Payden Pittman | 24.3% | 29.0% | 22.5% | 15.0% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alex Cross | 5.8% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 22.8% | 10.8% |
| Charlie Herman | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.