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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.54vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+4.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+3.68vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.48+2.06vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.00-1.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.88vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.29+2.16vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-4.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-5.99vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.07-0.14vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.47-5.91vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.99-2.00vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.54-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.1Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.06University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.93College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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13.16Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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13.86Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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14.0Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 21.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 29.8% |
| Connor Needham | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| John Croll | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 30.5% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.