Race 10B

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rachel Bartel 9.8% 10.2% 11.6% 9.8% 11.9% 11.3% 12.3% 11.6% 7.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Braden Vogel 18.9% 17.2% 16.2% 13.7% 11.8% 8.9% 6.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Timothy Hesse 20.3% 17.2% 15.8% 14.3% 10.8% 8.6% 6.8% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Bryce Lesinski 5.9% 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 8.5% 10.3% 12.4% 13.9% 13.7% 9.8% 3.5%
Gavin Dempsey 12.2% 14.5% 13.8% 14.6% 12.0% 11.3% 8.5% 6.9% 4.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Justin Skene 11.2% 11.7% 11.9% 13.9% 13.0% 13.0% 10.5% 7.2% 4.8% 2.5% 0.3%
Grace Bray 4.4% 4.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.7% 10.2% 10.9% 15.0% 16.9% 14.0% 4.5%
Hayden Flaskerud 4.6% 5.1% 4.4% 5.4% 6.3% 8.8% 10.9% 14.1% 19.4% 15.3% 5.8%
Lucas Rodenroth 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 10.4% 12.8% 11.7% 12.6% 11.3% 7.1% 3.2% 0.5%
Garrett Szlachta 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 5.3% 7.5% 14.1% 31.4% 25.2%
John Riordan 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 4.7% 8.3% 17.9% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.