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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.39+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-2.09+2.19vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-3.63+3.22vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.71-1.81vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.62-1.63vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.43-1.35vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.58-2.06vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-4.79-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Notre Dame-1.390.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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6.22Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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2.19Ohio State University-0.710.4%1st Place
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3.37Michigan Technological University-1.620.1%1st Place
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4.65Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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4.94Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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7.44Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Molinsky | 21.7% | 22.1% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Caplis | 9.7% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 41.5% | 19.5% |
| Emma Hershey | 39.0% | 27.0% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 14.7% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 22.8% | 12.5% | 2.4% |
| Astrid Myhre | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.