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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+1.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.62+1.21vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-2.43+1.39vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-3.63+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.39-2.09vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.58-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-3.06-1.63vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-4.79-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Ohio State University-0.710.5%1st Place
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3.21Michigan Technological University-1.620.2%1st Place
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4.39Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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6.15Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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2.91University of Notre Dame-1.390.2%1st Place
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4.62Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Michigan-3.060.0%1st Place
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7.33Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 45.0% | 27.0% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 15.8% | 20.0% | 23.7% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 2.0% |
| Kate Heaman | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 34.4% | 19.5% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 20.3% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.9% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 13.0% | 2.4% |
| Mia Pyenta | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 24.0% | 23.9% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 15.9% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.