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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.13+0.69vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+0.54vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.62+0.71vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-3.63+2.41vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-2.09-0.70vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.43-1.21vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.58-1.90vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-4.79-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Notre Dame0.130.5%1st Place
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2.54Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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3.71Michigan Technological University-1.620.1%1st Place
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6.41Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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4.79Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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5.1Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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7.46Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cyrul | 54.7% | 27.9% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 21.7% | 33.5% | 23.7% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 9.2% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Kate Heaman | 0.9% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 40.1% | 21.7% |
| Connor Caplis | 5.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.7% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 22.3% | 14.0% | 2.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 3.9% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 16.7% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.