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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-2.09+3.06vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.71+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.39+0.10vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-2.58+0.91vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.62-1.62vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.43-1.39vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.63-0.68vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-4.79-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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2.19Ohio State University-0.710.4%1st Place
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3.1University of Notre Dame-1.390.2%1st Place
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4.91Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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3.38Michigan Technological University-1.620.2%1st Place
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4.61Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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6.32Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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7.43Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Caplis | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Emma Hershey | 39.4% | 27.7% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 19.3% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 23.9% | 17.0% | 3.7% |
| Gavin Parsons | 15.1% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 40.3% | 21.7% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 17.7% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.