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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08-0.07vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-0.42vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.99-0.42vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.01-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Virginia Tech-0.2026.5%1st Place
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3.94University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8312.5%1st Place
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2.93University of Maryland-0.0824.6%1st Place
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3.91American University-0.8612.7%1st Place
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4.58University of Delaware-1.298.3%1st Place
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5.58William and Mary-1.994.2%1st Place
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4.22Penn State University-1.0111.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 26.5% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Henry Powell | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 8.8% |
| Jared Cohen | 24.6% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 8.7% |
| Seton Dill | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| Alexa Bodor | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 47.5% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.