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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.78+6.71vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.48+6.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+2.64vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.00+3.15vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.74-0.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+3.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54+0.66vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-1.75vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.91vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.56-2.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-2.90vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-3.98vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.68-1.90vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.99-1.15vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.07-2.16vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.92University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.15College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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13.85Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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13.84Cornell University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.15Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martland | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Sam Williams | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
| John Croll | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 31.3% |
| Jonathan Goldsmith | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 27.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.