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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+1.14vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.62+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.39+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-2.09+0.13vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.58-0.12vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-3.63+0.30vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-2.29vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-4.79-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Ohio State University-0.710.4%1st Place
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3.4Michigan Technological University-1.620.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Notre Dame-1.390.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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4.88Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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6.3Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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4.71Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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7.43Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 41.4% | 26.8% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 14.7% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Molinsky | 20.1% | 21.6% | 22.9% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Caplis | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 24.7% | 15.7% | 3.3% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 40.2% | 20.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 15.3% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 16.7% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.