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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.71+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-2.09+2.22vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.62+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.08-1.30vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-4.79+2.45vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.58-1.09vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.63-0.64vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-2.43-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Ohio State University-0.710.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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3.48Michigan Technological University-1.620.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Notre Dame-1.080.2%1st Place
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7.45Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
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4.91Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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6.36Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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4.66Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 37.5% | 27.8% | 19.5% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Gavin Parsons | 14.5% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Chris Mikesell | 24.6% | 25.5% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 17.4% | 71.5% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 2.9% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 41.3% | 21.7% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 23.0% | 12.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.