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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.08+1.69vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-3.63+4.36vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71-0.78vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.62-0.50vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.58-0.05vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-4.79+1.41vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-2.43-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.09-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Notre Dame-1.080.2%1st Place
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6.36Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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2.22Ohio State University-0.710.4%1st Place
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3.5Michigan Technological University-1.620.1%1st Place
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4.95Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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7.41Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
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4.75Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mikesell | 23.7% | 29.5% | 20.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Heaman | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 44.7% | 20.8% |
| Emma Hershey | 38.7% | 25.9% | 18.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Parsons | 14.8% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 27.0% | 14.9% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 15.3% | 71.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 24.3% | 14.1% | 2.7% |
| Connor Caplis | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.