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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.39+2.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-2.43+2.69vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71-0.85vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.62-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-2.09-0.84vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-4.79+1.41vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.63-0.64vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.58-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Notre Dame-1.390.2%1st Place
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4.69Michigan State University-2.430.1%1st Place
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2.15Ohio State University-0.710.4%1st Place
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3.39Michigan Technological University-1.620.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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7.41Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
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6.36Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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4.81Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Molinsky | 20.1% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 23.3% | 13.8% | 2.1% |
| Emma Hershey | 39.8% | 27.6% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 16.3% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Caplis | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 18.1% | 69.7% |
| Kate Heaman | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 42.6% | 22.5% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 22.8% | 14.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.