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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.13+0.70vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.62+1.70vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.71-0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-2.09+0.37vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.58+0.05vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-2.43-1.21vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.63-0.58vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-4.79-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7University of Notre Dame0.130.5%1st Place
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3.7Michigan Technological University-1.620.1%1st Place
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2.53Ohio State University-0.710.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Michigan-2.090.1%1st Place
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5.05Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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4.79Michigan State University-2.430.0%1st Place
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6.42Western Michigan University-3.630.0%1st Place
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7.45Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cyrul | 53.1% | 29.6% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Parsons | 9.4% | 14.1% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Hershey | 22.5% | 33.3% | 22.9% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Caplis | 5.6% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 16.3% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Astrid Myhre | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 23.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% |
| Kate Heaman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 41.6% | 22.3% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 17.4% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.