Race 1A

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 12.9% 12.6% 12.9% 10.9% 11.9% 11.3% 11.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Zachariah Schemel 25.0% 19.9% 16.6% 11.7% 11.1% 7.9% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Jones 16.1% 15.6% 15.1% 13.9% 14.6% 9.7% 7.4% 4.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 7.0% 8.9% 8.4% 11.6% 9.4% 13.0% 13.8% 14.1% 10.8% 3.0% 0.0%
Darby Smith 10.1% 10.0% 11.3% 11.2% 11.6% 13.7% 12.3% 9.3% 8.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Grayson Tella 12.9% 12.6% 12.9% 10.9% 11.9% 11.3% 11.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Harrison Vanderground 6.7% 5.6% 7.0% 6.1% 8.3% 8.7% 13.6% 14.8% 21.1% 8.1% 0.0%
Dawson Kohl 8.1% 11.1% 11.2% 14.1% 11.6% 12.7% 11.0% 11.5% 7.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Tia Schoening 4.2% 4.1% 4.8% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 11.1% 16.2% 24.9% 13.4% 0.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 5.9% 12.6% 68.2% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 8.7% 11.3% 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 12.1% 12.0% 11.1% 6.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.