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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+1.84vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.01+2.21vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.19vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.99-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Virginia Tech-0.2026.2%1st Place
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4.21Penn State University-1.0111.1%1st Place
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3.95American University-0.8613.7%1st Place
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2.99University of Maryland-0.0822.7%1st Place
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3.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8313.8%1st Place
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5.59William and Mary-1.994.2%1st Place
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4.62University of Delaware-1.298.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 26.2% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.1% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 11.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Jared Cohen | 22.7% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Henry Powell | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 8.2% |
| Alexa Bodor | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 47.2% |
| Seton Dill | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.