Race 4A

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachariah Schemel 26.4% 21.6% 15.3% 11.8% 9.0% 7.2% 5.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Jones 16.4% 15.5% 15.8% 14.4% 12.3% 10.1% 7.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Hilton Kamps 8.2% 7.8% 9.4% 6.7% 11.6% 13.4% 14.2% 13.8% 11.3% 3.6% 0.0%
Darby Smith 8.1% 10.9% 11.5% 12.6% 11.8% 14.0% 11.5% 9.8% 8.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Harrison Vanderground 5.4% 7.2% 6.1% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 13.2% 16.8% 19.5% 8.2% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 11.0% 9.6% 11.0% 12.6% 13.2% 11.5% 10.8% 11.9% 6.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Grayson Tella 9.5% 12.6% 12.7% 13.1% 13.2% 12.5% 11.4% 8.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Tia Schoening 3.7% 3.6% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 8.3% 10.8% 16.3% 25.7% 12.1% 0.0%
Dawson Kohl 10.1% 10.4% 11.2% 12.8% 11.2% 11.9% 13.0% 10.3% 7.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.5% 2.2% 6.1% 12.5% 68.5% 0.0%
Grayson Tella 9.5% 12.6% 12.7% 13.1% 13.2% 12.5% 11.4% 8.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.