Race 3B

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Adderley 10.7% 9.1% 11.1% 11.8% 9.8% 10.7% 13.6% 10.9% 8.3% 4.0% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 19.2% 17.5% 15.3% 13.7% 11.3% 8.9% 6.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Christopher McCollum 13.0% 12.5% 12.2% 10.5% 13.1% 14.5% 9.3% 8.2% 5.5% 1.2% 0.0%
KA Hamner 10.7% 13.1% 12.0% 11.0% 11.2% 14.1% 9.7% 8.3% 7.8% 2.1% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 13.1% 13.9% 14.4% 12.5% 13.6% 11.1% 8.0% 7.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Sara Menesale 15.0% 11.7% 11.6% 13.3% 11.7% 10.4% 10.7% 8.7% 5.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 19.2% 17.5% 15.3% 13.7% 11.3% 8.9% 6.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Blake March 8.2% 11.3% 10.6% 11.7% 11.8% 11.1% 12.8% 11.0% 9.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Nathan Hjort 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 7.4% 12.9% 16.2% 16.7% 18.3% 0.0%
Kallista Halatsis 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.4% 6.6% 10.8% 18.2% 45.5% 0.0%
Suhas Medidi 3.7% 3.9% 4.4% 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 9.7% 13.5% 22.5% 23.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.