Race 4B

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Adderley 10.6% 12.0% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 13.5% 12.8% 11.5% 6.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Christopher McCollum 13.7% 12.6% 12.8% 13.3% 14.1% 9.7% 12.6% 7.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 19.1% 17.3% 15.4% 14.7% 12.9% 9.0% 6.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Kallista Halatsis 1.9% 2.0% 3.5% 2.6% 4.4% 6.0% 8.4% 14.2% 27.4% 29.6% 0.0%
Blake March 10.2% 10.6% 10.0% 12.4% 10.8% 13.8% 14.2% 10.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Sara Menesale 15.2% 12.0% 12.0% 13.9% 11.9% 12.1% 10.1% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 12.2% 15.6% 16.0% 12.4% 13.2% 11.8% 9.5% 5.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
KA Hamner 12.1% 12.6% 12.5% 12.4% 12.1% 11.5% 11.5% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 19.1% 17.3% 15.4% 14.7% 12.9% 9.0% 6.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Mason Oleniczak 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 4.8% 10.4% 21.9% 48.7% 0.0%
Suhas Medidi 3.4% 3.7% 5.4% 5.9% 7.0% 8.8% 9.5% 19.1% 23.5% 13.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.