Race 5B

2024-florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Knowles 22.2% 18.5% 14.2% 13.0% 10.7% 9.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Sara Menesale 12.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.0% 11.0% 11.4% 11.7% 8.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0%
KA Hamner 12.2% 10.6% 11.7% 11.0% 15.0% 13.5% 11.1% 9.0% 4.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 12.7% 14.7% 14.1% 12.9% 13.9% 12.1% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Blake March 11.1% 9.5% 10.4% 12.5% 11.0% 13.6% 13.6% 10.2% 6.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Joshua Knowles 22.2% 18.5% 14.2% 13.0% 10.7% 9.3% 6.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Christopher McCollum 14.8% 13.3% 13.4% 13.5% 12.1% 10.8% 10.2% 7.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Jack Adderley 8.4% 11.1% 10.8% 12.9% 12.7% 12.4% 11.9% 12.2% 5.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Mason Oleniczak 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.2% 2.4% 4.1% 6.7% 10.4% 21.5% 46.6% 0.0%
Kallista Halatsis 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.9% 8.6% 13.0% 26.6% 31.8% 0.0%
Suhas Medidi 3.4% 3.8% 6.3% 4.7% 7.1% 7.9% 10.6% 18.8% 23.5% 13.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.