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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.11+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.73+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.26-0.23vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.97-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.20-0.83vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.68+0.22vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-3.30-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25North Carolina State University0.110.4%1st Place
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3.43University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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2.77University of North Carolina-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.83Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.17University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.22Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.93Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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6.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 38.3% | 25.4% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 14.2% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 23.1% | 25.2% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 24.1% | 28.9% | 22.8% |
| Charles Palmer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 49.9% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 21.8% | 33.7% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.