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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina-0.26+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.73+1.46vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.11-0.71vs Predicted
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4Davidson College-2.68+2.23vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.97-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.20-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-0.54vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.30-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of North Carolina-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.46University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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2.29North Carolina State University0.110.4%1st Place
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6.23Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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3.83Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.12University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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6.89Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cole McGee | 24.6% | 25.3% | 21.8% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 14.3% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 36.7% | 26.5% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 25.2% | 27.8% | 23.6% |
| Matthew Laufer | 9.8% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 26.1% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 19.4% | 30.8% | 30.0% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 15.4% | 27.5% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.