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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.08+0.91vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.01+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-0.36vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-2.02vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.99-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Virginia Tech-0.2529.6%1st Place
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2.91University of Maryland-0.0825.4%1st Place
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4.23Penn State University-1.0111.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8311.6%1st Place
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4.64University of Delaware-1.297.0%1st Place
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3.98American University-0.8611.6%1st Place
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5.65William and Mary-1.993.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 29.6% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Jared Cohen | 25.4% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 12.4% |
| Henry Powell | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| Seton Dill | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 19.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 9.3% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.