← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.95+5.69vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.85vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+5.98vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.88+3.22vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.95+1.75vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.39+3.23vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.35+2.25vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.74-0.43vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.67-0.85vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.71-2.31vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University2.34+2.05vs Predicted
-
12Washington College3.07-1.71vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College4.05-6.42vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia3.01-3.23vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.77-3.53vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.55-3.63vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.22Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
6.75Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.23Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
-
9.25Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.57University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.15Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.69Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
13.05Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.29Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
-
6.58Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.77University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
-
11.47Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.37University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.09University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Gary Herring | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Alex Cook | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| William Macdonald | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Johns | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Britton Steele | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Billy Hines | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 31.3% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 19.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.