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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.11+1.27vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.97+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-0.73+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.26-1.21vs Predicted
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5Davidson College-2.68+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.20-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-0.52vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.30-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27North Carolina State University0.110.4%1st Place
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3.83Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.44University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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2.79University of North Carolina-0.260.2%1st Place
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6.22Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.11University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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6.86Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 36.4% | 26.3% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 20.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 14.9% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| John Cole McGee | 23.4% | 24.8% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 24.5% | 30.0% | 22.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 9.9% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 29.4% | 31.7% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 14.8% | 27.4% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.