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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.97+2.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.11+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.26-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.20-1.90vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-2.68-0.76vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.30-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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2.33North Carolina State University0.110.3%1st Place
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2.8University of North Carolina-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.46University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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4.1University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.24Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.89Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Laufer | 12.0% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 20.5% | 21.2% | 10.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 34.0% | 27.9% | 19.0% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 24.1% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 14.7% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 21.0% | 31.0% | 28.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 10.3% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 22.7% | 28.7% | 24.5% |
| Charles Palmer | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 15.5% | 27.5% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.