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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.11+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.26+0.77vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.97+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-1.20+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.73-1.52vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.68+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.87-0.54vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-3.30-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27North Carolina State University0.110.4%1st Place
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2.77University of North Carolina-0.260.2%1st Place
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3.82Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.12University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.48University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.19Davidson College-2.680.0%1st Place
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6.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.870.0%1st Place
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6.89Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 36.9% | 27.5% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 23.6% | 24.8% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Laufer | 11.8% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 11.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 15.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 14.0% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 10.8% | 26.0% | 28.1% | 21.9% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 18.6% | 30.5% | 30.6% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 27.7% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.