← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.28+0.77vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.60+0.48vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-0.29-0.78vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.64+0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina-2.68-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.77North Carolina State University0.280.5%1st Place
-
2.48University of North Carolina-0.600.2%1st Place
-
2.22Clemson University-0.290.3%1st Place
-
4.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.640.0%1st Place
-
4.29University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyla Solway | 49.2% | 29.6% | 16.7% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 19.6% | 27.2% | 40.0% | 11.7% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 27.2% | 34.8% | 28.3% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Carley Yount | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 39.8% | 46.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 35.6% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.