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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+8.36vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.36+4.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.99+6.00vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.07+0.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.45+2.08vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+0.79vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+1.34vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-2.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.13vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-4.57vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.16-1.73vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-0.46vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.01-1.02vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.51-3.98vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.32-1.81vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-5.70vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-0.67-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Harvard University2.1713.7%1st Place
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10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.8%1st Place
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7.9Boston College1.366.3%1st Place
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10.0University of South Florida0.993.7%1st Place
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5.06Stanford University2.0714.3%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College1.456.2%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University1.526.8%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.924.6%1st Place
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6.62Cornell University1.799.0%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.5%1st Place
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6.43Bowdoin College1.849.3%1st Place
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10.27University of Pennsylvania1.163.4%1st Place
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12.54Boston University0.371.5%1st Place
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12.98North Carolina State University0.011.9%1st Place
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11.02University of Hawaii0.512.6%1st Place
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14.19Fordham University-0.321.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin0.362.6%1st Place
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14.84University of Texas-0.670.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Marina Conde | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 24.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.