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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+5.68vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.86vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+8.47vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+3.89vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+2.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.01vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.55+4.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01+0.55vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.34+2.05vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.74-4.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-3.63vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.39-4.78vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-4.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-6.92vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.05-10.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.47Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.89Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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13.05Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.74University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.22Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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10.4Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 19.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Billy Hines | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 30.8% |
| Britton Steele | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Peter Johns | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Gary Herring | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.