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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+3.36vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37-1.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.19+0.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.04-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.43-0.54vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.91-0.78vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.21-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.06Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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2.89University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.63Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.22Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.13Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Aston Atherton | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Max Kleha | 20.7% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 27.2% | 23.5% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 10.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 21.5% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 41.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.