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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+3.33vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.05vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37-1.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University-0.04+0.49vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.19-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.43-0.55vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.21-2.85vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.91-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.05Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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2.88University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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5.49Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.94North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.15Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 13.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 11.9% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Max Kleha | 20.3% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 26.8% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.9% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 13.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.