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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+1.09vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+0.87vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University-0.04+1.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.43+0.36vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21-1.84vs Predicted
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8Fordham University-0.91-0.78vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.19-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.09University of South Florida1.370.2%1st Place
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3.87Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.59Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.16Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.22Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 22.7% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% |
| Max Kleha | 22.6% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 22.5% | 19.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 42.2% |
| Annika Milstien | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.