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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+2.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+1.66vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37-1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+1.23vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.21-0.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.91+0.26vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University-0.04-2.33vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.19-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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4.38Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.89University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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6.23University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.09Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.26Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.67Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.96North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Kleha | 15.7% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 26.3% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 41.7% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.