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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+2.86vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University-0.04+3.88vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.45vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37-2.10vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.91+1.19vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21-1.87vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.19-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.43-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.88Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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3.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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4.27Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.9University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.13Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.93North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 14.9% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% |
| Max Kleha | 19.1% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 28.6% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 22.5% | 37.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Annika Milstien | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.