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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aston Atherton 14.9% 16.8% 15.1% 16.4% 13.3% 10.4% 7.5% 4.8% 0.8%
Jonah Willoughby 5.0% 5.3% 8.0% 9.4% 12.1% 14.6% 16.2% 15.7% 13.7%
Max Kleha 19.1% 19.0% 17.7% 14.9% 11.7% 9.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Tyler Brown 12.1% 13.5% 14.4% 15.9% 13.3% 12.3% 9.9% 5.9% 2.7%
Humberto Porrata 28.6% 23.2% 15.8% 12.8% 8.3% 6.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Brendan Sheeran 2.7% 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 6.5% 8.3% 11.3% 22.5% 37.9%
Joseph Bonacci 7.1% 9.3% 11.5% 10.1% 14.5% 15.4% 15.8% 9.6% 6.7%
Annika Milstien 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 9.4% 11.3% 12.8% 13.8% 17.9% 15.9%
Maxwell Penders 4.5% 4.3% 6.4% 7.1% 9.0% 10.5% 16.1% 20.2% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.