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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.25+1.65vs Predicted
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2American University-0.86+1.95vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-1.99+2.66vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.08-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Virginia Tech-0.2529.9%1st Place
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3.95American University-0.8612.4%1st Place
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5.66William and Mary-1.993.6%1st Place
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4.27Penn State University-1.0110.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Delaware-1.297.7%1st Place
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3.9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.8313.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Maryland-0.0822.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 29.9% | 23.5% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Arey | 12.4% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 7.8% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 49.7% |
| Nathan Mascia | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| Seton Dill | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Henry Powell | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 7.5% |
| Jared Cohen | 22.8% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.