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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+3.35vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.85+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37-0.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University-0.04+1.59vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.19+0.83vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.64vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.43-1.62vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.91-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.08Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.98University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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5.59Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.83North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.36St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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5.2Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Aston Atherton | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 25.8% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% |
| Max Kleha | 20.7% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 21.4% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.