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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+2.91vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+2.51vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37-1.11vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University-0.04+0.52vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.21-0.89vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.91+0.26vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.19-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.43-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Christopher Newport University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.51Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.2%1st Place
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2.89University of South Florida1.370.3%1st Place
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5.52Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.11Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.26Fordham University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.93North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 10.0% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Max Kleha | 20.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 26.5% | 23.9% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 11.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 41.9% |
| Annika Milstien | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.